Sunday, June 30, 2019

Trading Vs. Cricket - Which style suits you?


Hope you all would agree that trading in all the formats ("Intra-day", "Swing", "Positional", "Long Term") may not be possible for us as an individual.

As a trader, I tried all the formats but could never settle in intra-day. I found my forte in intraday and swing trading. I could conclude that one needs a different set of skill and traits in different formats of the game.

This can be very similar to the famous game of Cricket.
We can see this as in 3 different styles-

Intra-day = T20
Swing = One Day
Positional = Test

Every format of cricket requires one to have different skills set.

T20 cricket requires players to be - quick decision makers, fast and furious, quick on the field, etc.
One Day cricket requires the player to be - strategic, to have good stamina, very disciplined.
Test cricket requires the player to have - a lot of patience, be strategic and have high stamina.

If we go by this analogy, then -
Intra-day traders need to be - quick decision maker, fast, strong on psychological factors.
Swing traders need to be - high on discipline, good analyst, have some patience, need to be acquainted with global scenario, etc.
Positional traders need to have - a lot of patience, high on vitamin-M, strategic and need to have good knowledge of the stock.

Every player does not play in each format with similar efficiency. Rahul Dravid is a better player of Test cricket but may not be as good in T20. A pinch fast runner and good fielder like Virender Sehwag is good at T20, but may not be fit for Test Cricket.

Of course, there are some all-rounders (in the terms of playing in all the formats) like Virat Kohli. But frankly, how many of them are like that. We know everyone cannot be Virat Kohli.

Better is to get yourself perfect in one format of the game first, then try others.

For this, you need to analyze, your skills and personality type. So start working on what you are fit for and then decide which format to trade.

To make it too simpler - compare your personality with good Test players and if you find a similarity with some good test players, you can consider yourself to be fit for positional and long term. (This is the very raw and simplest way of understanding your trading personality. And of-course this is my way of deciding it - I may be wrong or there can be more angles to it.)

The similar analogy goes true with all other forms of trading and cricket.

Happy Trading and Cricket World Cup 2019.




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Disclaimer: The contents produced here are purely for educational purpose. They should not be construed as buy/sell recommendations. I am not a SEBI registered Analyst or Investment Advisor. Readers are advised to consult their Investment advisor before taking any decisions based on the above write-up.
 

Monday, June 24, 2019

Nifty & Bank Nifty – 60 Minute Chart Analysis

Friends, our last article stock Tata Motors Ltd. has fallen 10% from our levels. The first time we are going to write an article on a 60-minute time period. Hope you will like and learn as well as earn from it.

Technical Overview of Nifty: In the below picture, Nifty Index is trading between a Descending Zic-Zak Channel on the 60-minute time frame. Nifty Index has made the 3rd top on 20th June 219 and has taken resistance from the upper side of the channel (i.e. Trend Line as well). Right now Nifty is trading at the center of the channel. As per our studies, Index can come down to complete their Channel Cycle. Nifty has strong support at 11600 and it is our first target for the downside. If Nifty break down the 11600 in coming days and close below the level then it can show more fall till 11400. Nifty has opened gap up by 250 points on 20th May 2019, now there is a possibility of gap filling. Our view on the Nifty Index is bearish with a small stop loss of 11750.



Below is the Nifty Option Chain, there is heavy call writing happened in Nifty. Options data is also bearish.



Technical Overview of Bank Nifty: If we analyse 60 minutes chart of Bank Nifty Index then everyone can easily identify the chart pattern. Earlier we had caught the same chart pattern i.e. Descending Triangle. Sentiment and technical are looking neutral to negative for Bank Nifty. Bank Nifty is trading near Resistance and not breaking it. There is possibility Bank Nifty will come down to complete their Descending Triangle Cycle. Next strong support is around 30300, if it breaks down then this bank index will come down to fill their previous gap i.e. 29550 to 30100. We can sell Bank Nifty at current market price with the stop-loss of 30840. Targets are 30300, 30000, 29600.

Options data of Bank Nifty is looking mix and match. Not showing clear direction, however technical is strong and technical can change option date anytime.


Disclaimer: The contents produced here are purely for educational purpose. They should not be construed as buy/sell recommendations. I am not a SEBI registered Analyst or Investment Advisor. Readers are advised to consult their Investment advisor before taking any decisions based on the above write-up.